Thursday, 27 May 2010

Gold prices retreat slightly after three-day climb

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- Gold edged mildly lower Thursday, with prices retreating after a three-day run-up that had the metal closing above $1,200 an ounce for the first time in a week the prior day.
Gold futures for the front-month June contract fell $1.30 to $1,212.10 an ounce on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange. Gold for August delivery, the contract with the most open positions, was also off $1.40 at $1,213.90.

The metal retreated after climbing above the $1,218.00 level as a rebound in the equity market "offered encouragement to leveraged funds that have been playing the commodity," said analysts at Action Economics.
"However, caution still remains and this was reflected by the pickup in dollar and yen buying as the European morning progressed, which took the edge off gold longs and it traded back towards its session base," the analysts added.

The euro /quotes/comstock/21o!x:seurusd (CUR_EURUSD 1.2242, +0.0087, +0.7157%) rose to $1.2259 one day after an official said China would not veer from its plan to diversify its foreign exchange reserves, putting to rest reports Beijing would not hold eurozone debt.

The dollar index /quotes/comstock/11j!i:dxy0 (DXY 86.83, -0.29, -0.33%) fell to 86.728 from 87.159 in late North American trading on Wednesday.

U.S. economic data ahead includes weekly jobs claims and a forecast for first-quarter growth.

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When Are U.S. Treasury Bonds Risky?

U.S. Treasury Bonds (and Notes and Bills) are considered the safest investment you can make.

When investors are worried about the economy, the stock market or pretty much anything else, they sell other assets and buy Treasury issues - the so-called "flight to safety."

While Treasuries are declared the safest investment, that is not the case in every situation.

When you think of Treasuries (or any bonds for that matter), there are two basic ways they fit into your portfolio.

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ABOUT US:
Stock Source is a full service investor relations firm dedicated to growth stocks. We seek out innovative, emerging companies poised for growth and tell their stories to qualified, aggressive investors looking for ground floor opportunities. We connect investors with investment prospects—cutting through the noise and churn of Wall Street to shine the spotlight on companies on their way up. These companies trade on the Nasdaq, Amex, OTCBB, and Pinksheets.

Stocks set for solid bounce

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- U.S. stocks were poised to bounce at the open Thursday after the previous session closed with the blue-chip Dow index ending below 10,000.

Dow Jones industrial average (INDU), S&P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq (COMP)futures were all about 2.3% higher, following the rebound in global stocks.

Stocks erased gains by the close of trade Wednesday, as worries about global growth and the euro's decline overshadowed upbeat economic news.

Economy: The government's revised reading on first-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) growth is due at 8:30 a.m. ET. GDP is expected to have grown at a 3.3% annualized rate versus the initially reported 3.2% rate.

Also at 8:30 a.m., the Department of Labor will release its weekly jobless claims, which are expected to have fallen to 455,000 last week, down from 471,000 the previous week.

At 10 a.m., the House Oversight Committee is slated to begin its hearing on the Tylenol recall with Johnson & Johnson (JNJ, Fortune 500).

BP (BP) executives will also appear at a hearing in continued testimony about the Gulf oil spill.

World markets: Stocks around the world rebounded. In morning trading in Europe, the CAC 40 in France jumped 0.9%. Britain's FTSE 100 added 1.1% and the DAX in Germany gained 1.2%

Asian shares finished the session higher. The Hang Seng in Hong Kong and Japan's Nikkei added 1.2%. The Shanghai Composite gained 1.2%.

Dollar and commodities: The euro rebounded against the dollar, up 0.7% against the U.S. currency Wednesday.

The greenback was down 0.8% against the British pound, but it was up 0.6%versus the Japanese yen.

U.S. light crude oil for July delivery gained $1.70 to $73.21 a barrel. COMEX gold's June contract rose 60 cents to $1,214 per ounce.

Bonds: Treasury prices were lower early Wednesday, pushing the benchmark 10-year note's yield up to 3.28%. Bond prices and yields move in opposite directions.


StockSource.us

ABOUT US:

Stock Source is a full service investor relations firm dedicated to growth stocks. We seek out innovative, emerging companies poised for growth and tell their stories to qualified, aggressive investors looking for ground floor opportunities. We connect investors with investment prospects—cutting through the noise and churn of Wall Street to shine the spotlight on companies on their way up. These companies trade on the Nasdaq, Amex, OTCBB, and Pinksheets.

Thai stocks, currency hold up against instability

Thailand's benchmark stock index and currency are among the best performers in emerging markets as the nation's economic growth outweighs the deadliest political clash in two decades.

The baht's 0.9 percent gain since anti-government rallies began on March 12 makes it the top-performing currency among developing nations, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The key share index climbed 3 percent, the most among 22 countries on the MSCI Emerging Markets Index after Morocco. It was also the best performer among Asia's 10 biggest equity markets.

Firefighters in Bangkok extinguished blazes over the weekend that burned 39 buildings, following a military assault on May 19 to end the two-month protest in Bangkok. A government report Monday showed Southeast Asia's biggest economy after Indonesia expanded at the fastest pace since 1995 last quarter, driven by exports.

“Fortunately, the manufacturing sector hasn't been much affected by the political turmoil as the factories aren't in central Bangkok,” said Takahide Irimura, head of emerging-market research in Tokyo at Kokusai Asset Management Co., which manages about US$61 billion of assets.

The political conflict may curb consumption and imports, boosting the nation's trade surplus and supporting the baht, Irimura said. Kokusai, whose Global Sovereign Open fund is Asia's biggest bond fund, doesn't provide forecasts, he said.

The baht gained 0.2 percent to 32.38 per dollar as of 12:37 p.m. in Bangkok, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Exporters are repatriating overseas income to buy baht as “the situation is under control in the capital,” according to Chatchawan Jumruswittayawong, a foreign-exchange trader at Bank of Ayudhya Pcl. The currency may trade between 32.25 and 32.50 this week, he said.

The cost of credit-default swaps insuring Thai government debt from default declined 3 basis points to 159.4 basis points, according to CMA DataVision prices.

The SET Index dropped 2.4 percent to 747.44 at the lunch break, reflecting the global rout on May 20 and May 21 when the bourse was closed because of violent clashes between demonstrators and security forces. The MSCI Asia-Pacific excluding Japan index slumped 2.8 percent during that time, to an eight-month low, on concern Europe's debt crisis will crimp global growth.

“The Greek debt crisis and domestic political unrest have driven away overseas investors,” said Suppakorn Soontornkit, chief investment officer of MFC Asset Management Pcl, which oversees 230 billion baht (US$7.1 billion) of assets.

Suppakorn maintained his forecast that the SET may rise to between 820 and 887 this year. The company's MFC Value Long Term Equity Fund was ranked the top large equity fund in 2009 by Morningstar Inc., a fund research company.

The eviction of anti-government protesters from central Bangkok will prompt a more prolonged flight from the stocks and currency markets by overseas investors, who expect the demonstrations to resume at some point, Sopawadee Lertmanascha, who manages about 447 billion baht of assets as secretary general of the Government Pension Fund, Thailand's third-biggest money manager, said May 18.

Foreign investors cut their Thai stock holdings on each of this month's 11 trading days, the longest stretch of net sales since November 2008, pulling 38.7 billion baht, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

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ABOUT US:
Stock Source is a full service investor relations firm dedicated to growth stocks. We seek out innovative, emerging companies poised for growth and tell their stories to qualified, aggressive investors looking for ground floor opportunities.
We connect investors with investment prospects—cutting through the noise and churn of Wall Street to shine the spotlight on companies on their way up. These companies trade on the Nasdaq, Amex, OTCBB, and Pinksheets.

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Jeremy Grantham: Buy Lumber, Emerging Markets, And "Aberrantly Cheap" Blue-Chip Stocks

Jeremy Grantham

Yesterday a host of boldfaced investor names talked up their latest ideas at the Ira Sohn conference.

It doesn't sound as though there were any huge bombshells, though David Einhorn's announcement that he is short Moody's (MCO) and McGraw-Hill (MHP) has generated some headlines (though to be honest, we hadn't realized that was actually news).

Presenting a bullish case was Jeremy Grantham of GMO, who loves blue-chip stocks right now.

Here are the notes of Mike O'Rourke of BTIG:

IN GMO’s 7 year forecast U.S. High quality names are aberrantly cheap and should provide 7.6% real return per year. In constructing a portfolio Grantham said it should be 40% U.S. Blue Chips, 20% Emerging Markets and 30% EAFE Blue chips. Grantham notes that bonds are “grotesquely” overpriced predicted to post a real return 1.7% per year. Grantham’s 3 choices or recommendations are Timber which has 7.5% forecasted real annual return. Then Grantham likes Emerging Markets which he believes will go to a premium P/E to the rest of the world. Finally he likes high quality U.S. blue chaps. They are trading at a 17% discount to fair value and 55% of earnings come from around the world.

The bedrock of Grantham’s thinking is that “Things regress to the mean.” Of the 34 bubbles GMO has identified it takes about 3.5 years for the bubble to run up and it comes back down to the trendline nearly as quickly. All bubbles reverse. Grantham believes both the U.K. and Australia are in housing bubbles. The risks to betting against bubbles are career risk and business risk. Grantham believes debt has nothing to do with growth, and debt has less influence than most think. Grantham concluded by noting the importance of the upward bias in the third year of the presidential cycle.



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ABOUT US:
Stock Source is a full service investor relations firm dedicated to growth stocks. We seek out innovative, emerging companies poised for growth and tell their stories to qualified, aggressive investors looking for ground floor opportunities. We connect investors with investment prospects—cutting through the noise and churn of Wall Street to shine the spotlight on companies on their way up. These companies trade on the Nasdaq, Amex, OTCBB, and Pinksheets.

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Has the Market Mispriced Homeowners Choice?

I believe so!

Homeowners Choice (HCII) now has a peaking earning potential of $2.08, cash of $8.85 per share and no debt, and Real estate valued at $1.12 per share.

We believe Homeowners Choice has targeted diversified insurance policies throughout the State of Florida, knowing hurricanes can be devastating leaving a high level of damage but also damage is often in a compressed area. Because of Homeowners Choice's state diversification model, we now believe that their hurricane risk in Florida is limited to about the $3 million potential risk. So if you assume only one hurricane hits Florida, we still project earnings to be around the $1.60 range.

It's our contention that profitable companies should trade above the level of cash in the bank. At one hurricane or $1.60 times a PE of $9.42 (the property and casualty industry average), this comes to $15.07; At $2.08 times a PE of $9.42, this would be $18.84.

With cash at $8.85 per share plus $1.12 in real estate, which appears to be overlooked, this gives --say a buyout firm with about $9.97 of mostly liquid assets-- an ability to buy a $6.50 company. Plus, then, they would receive the remaining company that has over $2 in earning power.

We believe this downturn provides a good opportunity to invest in a very profitable company trading well below cash and at about 3.125 peak earnings!


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ABOUT US:

Stock Source is a full service investor relations firm dedicated to growth stocks. We seek out innovative, emerging companies poised for growth and tell their stories to qualified, aggressive investors looking for ground floor opportunities. We connect investors with investment prospects—cutting through the noise and churn of Wall Street to shine the spotlight on companies on their way up. These companies trade on the Nasdaq, Amex, OTCBB, and Pinksheets.

Wednesday, 26 May 2010

Stocks recover as OECD raises growth forecasts

Global stock markets jumped on Wednesday following a string of heavy losses as the OECD raised its forecasts for world economic growth but also warned of "significant" risks to the recovery.

European governments meanwhile sought to drive down massive debt and reassure increasingly nervous financial market investors by adopting tough austerity measures, including public sector pay cuts and increased taxes.

"Growth is picking up in the OECD area -- at different speeds across regions -- and at a faster pace than expected in the previous Economic Outlook," the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Developmentsaid in a report.

But the group of leading economies also warned that "risks to the global recovery could be higher now, given the speed and magnitude of capital inflows in emerging-market economies and instability insovereign debt markets."

Global financial markets have been racked in recent weeks by concern over the debt crisis in the eurozone and the possibility of overheating and asset bubbles emerging in major emerging markets such as Chinaand India.

On Wednesday, however, equities looked in good shape as investors hunted for bargains after sharp plunges earlier in the week on the back of fears that the drive to bring down debt in some countries could hit economic growth.

Tokyo's Nikkei ended 0.66 percent higher, while Hong Kong rose 1.11 percent.

In Europe, Frankfurt jumped 2.28 percent, London rocketed up 2.61 percent and Paris shot up 2.99 percent in afternoon trading.

On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.84 percent and the tech-heavy Nasdaq index rose by 1.40 percent in morning trading.

Derek Halpenny, head of global currency research at the Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ, warned however that "the markets remain jittery and it would take very little to prompt renewed signs of risk aversion."

The OECD, whose 30 members include Germany and the United States but not China and India, stressed in its report that governments should start winding up their stimulus programmes and enacting fiscal consolidation.

It said the US government's fiscal policies were "unsustainable" and called on Japan to develop a "credible" plan to scale back spending.

It said too that while Britain's economic recovery was gaining traction, the country's record public deficit remained a problem that must be tackled.

At the same time, the organisation raised its forecast for real or inflation adjusted gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the world economy to 4.6 percent from an earlier prediction of 3.4 percent made in November 2009.

But it said that much of the growth would come from emerging economies, with eurozone output expanding by just 1.2 percent this year.

"Difficulties in restoring competitiveness and sound public finances in some peripheral countries may complicate recovery" in the euro area, the OECD said.

The report came after Italy on Tuesday approved austerity measures worth 24 billion euros (30 billion dollars) for 2011-2012 -- the latest euro nation to implement drastic cuts in response to a crisis in confidence on the markets.

Meanwhile the French government's plans to raise the retirement age from 60 as part of its cost-cutting efforts sparked furore, with the main trade unions calling for a national strike on Thursday.

The reduction of the minimum age for workers to receive a full state pension from 65 to 60 was in 1984 one of the key reforms of Socialist president Francois Mitterrand and remains cherished by the left.

Also on Wednesday, the European Commission unveiled plans for a new Europe-wide crisis insurance levy from banks in response to widespread public anger at the amount of taxpayer money used to prop up the banking system.

Monday, 24 May 2010

Where to Park Your Cash

You have money, you need a place to put it for a while and the financial institutions are lining up at the door. You may be tempted to fall for whatever suitor makes a good first impression, but remember: This choice is all about you.

The best short-term savings account is the one that best matches your needs in the following areas:
Access: How often will you need to dip into the account, and what's your preferred method of access -- ATM, checkwriting, online, and the like?

Interest: How much will the institution pay you for babysitting your money, and does the amount you need to park in the account qualify for the best rates?

Service: Might you require bells and whistles, such as in-person customer service, or are you more of a DIY, low-maintenance customer?

Penalties: Should your plans change -- you need to get to your moola sooner than planned, for example -- how harsh of a punishment will you need to endure?

Now, let's review the major aspirants:

Checking accounts
Checking accounts are meant for transactions, not savings. That's why many don't pay much, if any, interest. However, some banks do combine the conveniences of checking with the return of a money market account. Also, as "asset management" accounts at brokerages become more feature-rich -- offering unlimited check writing, ATM access, and money market rates -- more folks are shunning the banks in favor of brokers.

Pros
  • Your money is only a check or an ATM machine away.
  • A bank branch is usually not far, often in your grocery store, if you're so old-fashioned as to want to deal with a human being.
  • As with all bank deposits, checking accounts are insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.

Cons
  • Depending on the bank, you may not earn much, if anything, on the money in your account.
  • Many checking accounts require a minimum balance or charge fees, or both, which are a pox upon your pecuniary patience.

Savings accounts
In the old days, savings accounts -- or passbook accounts, as they're sometimes known -- were the most popular rest area for short-term savings. Fortunately, folks are getting smarter and parking their pelf in higher-yielding investments. The pittance you earn in most savings accounts isn't enough to even keep up with inflation.

Pros
  • The money in a savings account is insured by the FDIC.
  • Account minimums are often low.

Cons
  • The return on savings accounts is so low, some mattresses pay more in interest.

High-yield bank accounts

Nowadays, you can find high-yield savings and checking accounts. They're an ideal place to park money for your monthly bills. They offer flexibility (you can add or withdraw funds at any time) and liquidity (your dough isn't locked in for a specific time period). Some even boastinterest rates on par with more restrictive investments like CDs. The best rates by far are offered by online-only banks that keep costs low by cutting back on frills.

Pros
  • Better rates than many standard bank accounts.
  • Same FDIC insurance applies to high-yield accounts.

Cons
  • Bare-bones banks with no ATM/debit access or check-writing privileges can be a big hassle if you need your cash fast.
  • Customers must coordinate their cash flow by transferring money back and forth from the online bank to a linked checking/savings or brokerage account. That means delays -- two to five days -- before everything's reconciled.
  • Watch out for limited-time teaser rates by researching the product's six-month interest rate history.

Money market deposit accounts
Money market deposit accounts are offered by banks, usually require a minimum balance, and permit a limited number of transactions per month (six transfers, three of which can be checks written on the account).

Pros
  • Money market deposit accounts are very liquid. Most allow for easy access through checks, transfers, and even ATMs.
  • Because they are offered by banks, money market accounts are insured by the FDIC.

Cons
  • Unfortunately, you may pay for the liquidity by receiving less in return than from certificates of deposit.
  • If your account falls below the minimum required balance, or you exceed the limited number of transactions, you might pay a penalty.

Money market funds
Money market funds are offered by brokerages and mutual fund families. These funds invest in highly liquid, safe securities such as certificates of deposit, government securities, and commercial paper (i.e., short-term obligations issued by corporations).

Pros
  • With a money market fund, you can have the money in your hot little hands very quickly. Often, you can write checks or use an ATM card.
  • The returns on money market funds are typically higher than the return on money market accounts.
  • Issuers go to great lengths to keep the NAV (the price of each share of the fund) at $1, so your principal is relatively safe.

Cons
  • Money market funds are not FDIC insured.
  • There is no guarantee that the NAV will remain at $1.

Certificates of deposit (CDs)
CDs are debt instruments with a specific maturity, which can be anywhere from three months to 60 months (i.e., five years). Most CDs are issued by banks, but they can be bought through brokerages.

Pros
  • CDs are very safe because most are offered by banks, so they are FDIC insured.
  • Depending on how long it is to maturity, CDs may pay more than money markets.

Cons
  • Your money is off-limits until the CD matures. If you must, you can redeem the CD early, but you'll pay a penalty.

U.S. government bills or notes
"Treasuries" are backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. government. Treasury billsmature in less than a year; Treasury notes mature between two and 10 years.

Pros
  • Treasuries are considered the safest investments in the world.
  • They can be bought directly, commission-free, at TreasuryDirect.
  • They are exempt from state and local taxes.

Cons
  • If you shop around, you might get a better return from money markets, CDs, and corporate bonds.
  • If you need your money before the security matures, you may not get back all of your original investment.

I Bonds
No, they have nothing to do with the Internet. I Bonds are inflation-indexed savings bonds issued by the U.S. government. The amount an I Bond pays is adjusted semiannually to keep up with inflation and protect the purchasing power of your money.

Pros
  • I Bonds are backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. government.
  • The "I" in I Bond protects your investment against inflation risk.
  • They are sold in manageable denominations, ranging from $50 to $10,000.
  • They can be bought from most financial institutions, including TreasuryDirect.
  • The earnings are exempt from state and local taxes, and can be tax-free if used for post-secondary education expenses.
  • Taxes on earnings can be deferred for up to 30 years.

Cons
  • You must hold an I Bond for at least 12 months, and you will pay a penalty of three months' earnings if you redeem the bond before owning it for five years.

Municipal bonds
Municipal bonds (or "munis," as the big talkers refer to them) are issued by state and local governments in order to build schools, highways, and other projects for the public good. Municipal bonds are most attractive to high-income investors looking for tax-friendly income.

Pros
  • Munis are just a step down from U.S. securities in terms of safety.
  • Income is exempt from federal taxes, and might be exempt from state and local taxes if you live in the municipality that issued the bond (check on the tax implications beforehand).

Cons
  • Interest from munis is relatively low. Unless you're in a high tax bracket, you'll usually get a better return from other investments.
  • You may have to pay a commission to buy municipal bonds.
  • If you need your money before the bond matures, you may not get back all of your original investment.

Corporate bonds
Corporate bonds represent debt issued by companies, from the blue chips to the "cow chips," if you know what we mean. The more creditworthy the company, the less it'll pay in interest. Moody's and Standard & Poor's rate companies as to their ability to meet their debt obligations. Only short-term bonds are appropriate for short-term savings.

Pros
  • Corporate bonds usually pay more than government securities, money markets, and CDs.

Cons
  • The company that issued the bond could suspend interest payments, or even go belly up.
  • You may have to pay a commission to buy bonds.
  • If you need your money before the bond matures, you may not get back all of your original investment.

Bond funds
Bond funds are mutual funds that pool the money of investors to buy bonds of all stripes.

Pros
  • They are an efficient way to buy bonds in small increments and get the diversification that minimizes the risk that you picked a bond from a deadbeat company.

Cons
  • The NAV (i.e., the share price) of a bond mutual fund fluctuates, because of interest rate movements and the bonds bought and sold inside the fund. Therefore, you're not sure exactly how much of your original investment will be around when it's time to take your dough. Likewise, the yield on a mutual fund fluctuates.
  • You will pay an ongoing expense to own the fund, called the "expense ratio," and you may have to pay a commission, called a "load." 

StockSource.us

ABOUT US:
Stock Source is a full service investor relations firm dedicated to growth stocks. We seek out innovative, emerging companies poised for growth and tell their stories to qualified, aggressive investors looking for ground floor opportunities. We connect investors with investment prospects—cutting through the noise and churn of Wall Street to shine the spotlight on companies on their way up. These companies trade on the Nasdaq, Amex, OTCBB, and Pinksheets.

60-Second Guide to Cutting Your Taxes

Nobody wants to pay Uncle Sam any more than necessary. But you also don't want to end up on the receiving end of an IRS audit -- or worse. Luckily, there are plenty of perfectly legitimate ways to make sure you don't pay more than your fair share of income tax. Here's the quick scoop on ways to save both in April and year-round.

0:60 Pull out your old returns
Take a trip down memory lane to visit those ghosts of tax returns past. Sure, it'll bring back memories of late nights in mid-April spent frantically trying to get everything together. But without looking at your returns for past years, you won't know where to begin to look for ways to save. So go find those files!

0:52 Make the most of your income
The easiest way to pay no tax is not to earn any income, but we'll assume that you don't find that a very appetizing strategy. You can, however, pick investments where you'll either pay no tax or qualify for reduced rates. Know the nuances and you can save yourself some serious money.

0:43 Use your tax shelters -- legally!
The tax laws give everyone some great ways to cut taxes by saving toward many different important financial goals. Retirement accounts, such as traditional IRAs and 401(k) plans, let you defer paying tax on part of your income for decades, until you use that money after you retire, as well as lower your taxable income for the year by the amount you contribute. Other accounts, like Roth IRAs and 529 plans, let you save toward retirement or college expenses without ever having to pay tax on the income your investments generate. Using these shelters wisely can add up to thousands in tax savings.

0:29 Be smart about deductions
Everyone gets a standard deduction, but that doesn't mean you should take it. Millions of people give up potential tax savings simply because they don't keep records or take the time to itemize their deductions. Especially for homeowners and those with high medical bills, missing out on itemized deductions is hazardous for your financial health. And if you do go with the standard deduction, don't just assume that you should take it on both your state and federal returns, or you could be leaving money on the table.

0:21 Get extra credit
No, we're not talking about applying for that ultra-titanium credit card. The tax laws give taxpayers incentives on all sorts of different things, from raising a child and paying for educational expenses to making foreign investments. These credits are free for the taking, but you have to know they're available to take advantage.

0:09 Think about next year
There's only so much you can do to cut your tax bill for a particular year if you wait until the last minute to prepare your return. With some advance planning, you can get a head start on next year's taxes and take the opportunity to do some things you may have missed out on in past years. Things like checking your withholding and monitoring your income can help put you in better shape next time around.

0:04 Celebrate!
With all this planning, your taxes are filed, and it's not even April 13 yet! Give yourself a well-deserved pat on the back -- and then keep up the good work this year and next.

StockSource.us

ABOUT US:
Stock Source is a full service investor relations firm dedicated to growth stocks. We seek out innovative, emerging companies poised for growth and tell their stories to qualified, aggressive investors looking for ground floor opportunities. We connect investors with investment prospects—cutting through the noise and churn of Wall Street to shine the spotlight on companies on their way up. These companies trade on the Nasdaq, Amex, OTCBB, and Pinksheets.

Are Solar Stocks Due for Another Fall?

From an investor's standpoint, maybe the best thing about an industry like solar is also the worst thing: It's young and rapidly changing. While this means that big returns can be had over the long haul if you pick up the right names at reasonable prices, it also means that investors are bound to suffer the industry's growing pains as the winners get sorted from the losers, and companies learn how to manage downturns the hard way. The latter problem reared its ugly head during the first brutal months of the recession, and I think it's due to return during the second half of this year.

Earnings look good
At first glance, this might seem a strange time to get nervous about the outlook for solar stocks -- even if only for the near term. The latest round of earnings reports delivered by solar cell and module manufacturers were far from terrible. Thin-film module giant First Solar(Nasdaq: FSLR) knocked the cover off the ball, delivering stellar first-quarter results and providing 2010 earnings guidance well above Wall Street forecasts. Chinese manufacturersJA Solar (Nasdaq: JASO) and LDK Solar (NYSE: LDK) also provided earnings and guidance that blew away market expectations, and Suntech Power (NYSE: STP) pre-announced first-quarter numbers that did the same. Among big solar names, only SunPower's (Nasdaq:SPWRA) numbers proved disappointing.

And not only has demand picked up for the industry, pricing is finally stabilizing after being in a free fall for much of the recession. That's a mixed blessing for cell and module manufacturers, because it has also translated into stronger prices for the silicon wafers made by the likes of MEMC (NYSE: WFR), which make up their largest component cost. But it's still a clear sign that business has finally stabilized.

Overcapacity and euro woes
So why the concern about the industry hitting another rough patch? Well, it has a lot to do with the industry's newfound optimism about a recovery leading it to move too fast, too soon. The earnings calls of cell and module manufacturers were littered with announcements about plans to grow capacity to meet rising demand. First Solar raised its 2010 capital spending forecast from a range of $500 million to $550 million to one of $625 million to $650 million. LDK Solar stated that it now expects to more than double its module manufacturing capacity by the end of the year. And JA Solar boosted its 2010 capital spending guidance from $130 million to a range of $220 million to $250 million.

All of this might be good news for Applied Materials (Nasdaq: AMAT), whose solar manufacturing equipment business could use a boost, but it once again raises the specter of a major capacity glut, leading to crashing prices and dwindling gross margins. It sure doesn't help that all of this expansion comes at a time when the industry is bracing for a major cut in German solar subsidies. Or that solar manufacturers are still very dependent on demand from Europe in general. As we know, that continent is looking pretty shaky economically, and the combination of a credit crunch, government spending cuts, and a plunging euro (which makes imports more expensive for Europeans) could especially hurt an industry like solar.

The semiconductor industry went through some ugly boom-bust cycles in its early days on account of manufacturers getting carried away while times were good. It looks like the solar industry isn't finished learning its own lessons about how to manage industry cycles, and that spells trouble for solar stocks during the second half of 2010.

StockSource.us

ABOUT US:
Stock Source is a full service investor relations firm dedicated to growth stocks. We seek out innovative, emerging companies poised for growth and tell their stories to qualified, aggressive investors looking for ground floor opportunities. We connect investors with investment prospects—cutting through the noise and churn of Wall Street to shine the spotlight on companies on their way up. These companies trade on the Nasdaq, Amex, OTCBB, and Pinksheets.

U.S. Stocks Decline as Bank Borrowing Costs Increase in Europe

May 24 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks dropped, with the market paring its rebound at the end of last week, after a Spanish lender was seized and bank borrowing costs rose on concern that Europe’s debt crisis has further to run.

AT&T Inc. and Verizon Communications Inc. fell at least 1 percent to pace losses in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Wells Fargo & Co. declined after Goldman Sachs Group Inc. cut its recommendation on the bank. Apple Inc. rose on an upgrade from Morgan Stanley.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index lost 0.2 percent to 1,085.05 as of 9:35 a.m. in New York. The Dow Jones Industrial Average retreated 30.76 points, or 0.3 percent, to 10,162.63.

“We have more selling to go,” said Peter Jankovskis, who helps manage about $1.8 billion as co-chief investment officer at Oakbrook Investments in Lisle, Illinois. “There are too many uncertainties about Europe suggesting that the global economic growth may not continue. Get ready for more volatility.”

Futures pared losses before the start of regular trading after Morgan Stanley lifted its price estimate on Apple to $310 a share and added the stock to its “best ideas” list. The iPhone maker’s shares advanced 2.6 percent to $248.50.

The rate banks say they pay for three-month loans in dollars rose above 0.5 percent for the first time in 10 months amid concern that the creditworthiness of financial institutions is deteriorating. The London interbank offered rate, or Libor, for such loans advanced today to 0.51 percent, the highest level since July 16, from 0.497 percent at the end of last week, according to data from the British Bankers’ Association.

Bank Seizure

Evidence is mounting that some financial institutions are facing stress. The Bank of Spain put CajaSur, a lender based in Cordoba, under a provisional administrator two days ago. The bank lost 596 million euros ($748 million) on 426 million euros in revenue last year.

U.S. stocks rebounded on May 21 from their biggest drop in a year, as investors speculated losses in equities stemming from concern about Europe’s debt crisis may have gone too far. The S&P 500 has fallen 11 percent from its 2010 high in April even as economic reports including U.S. retail sales beat estimates and European governments committed as much as 860 billion euros ($1.1 trillion) to support weak economies.

The S&P 500 has entered a correction, defined as a decline of more than 10 percent from a peak, on average 421 days after the start of 12 bull markets since 1932, according to HSBC Holdings Plc. The selloffs on average took the measure 15 percent lower.

‘Eyes on the Exit’

“I don’t think we’re out of the woods yet,” Ted Weisberg, president of Seaport Securities in New York, said in an interview on Bloomberg Television. If gains from May 21 don’t continue, “we have our eyes on the exit and we’re not going to be afraid to walk through.”

The U.S. benchmark gauge has climbed 61 percent since entering its latest bull run on March 9, 2009.

Asian stocks gained today on speculation Chinese policy makers will rein in efforts to cool the economy. Europe’s Stoxx Europe 600 Index rose 0.3 percent, coming back from last week’s 4.6 percent decline.

Sales of previously owned homes in the U.S. probably rose in April to the highest level in five months as buyers took advantage of the last weeks of a government tax credit, economists said before a report today.

Home Sales

Wells Fargo fell 1.9 percent to $29.54. The shares were downgraded to “neutral” from “buy” by Goldman Sachs analysts, who said there is “more relative value” in peers.

Citigroup Inc. gained 4 percent to $3.90. The bank was raised to “buy” from “neutral” at Goldman Sachs Group Inc., which cited an improvement in consumer credit and a better environment for capital markets as volatility increases.

Sprint Nextel Corp. advanced 5.4 percent to $4.65. The third-largest U.S. mobile-phone carrier was raised to “buy” from “neutral” at Goldman Sachs Group Inc.

U.S. stock-market volatility that surged to the highest level since March 2009 may persist as Europe’s debt crisis defies resolution, Relational Investors LLC’s Ralph Whitworth said.

Volatility Continues

The options-market gauge known as the VIX rose 1.3 percent to 40.61, extending its increase since April 12 to 161 percent, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The index shows investors are paying more to protect against stock declines as governments seek to reduce deficits in Greece, Portugal and Spain. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index is down 8.6 percent for May, poised for the biggest decline in 15 months.

“Volatility sent a strong message that we’re not out of the woods globally,” said Whitworth, who helps oversee $6.5 billion at San Diego-based Relational Investors. “I expect the modest recovery that’s under way to have resilience, with the major caveat being a big blowup in Europe. That could spread like an infection.”

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UN: Dock 13 Million Fishing Boats to Save Global Stocks

Stark predictions lie ahead for the fishing industry if action is not taken immediately to preserve stock, according to the United Nations Environmental Programme (UNEP). Warning that “virtually all commercial fisheries will have collapsed by 2050 unless urgent action is taken”, scientists estimated 13 million boats need to stop fishing immediately to save global fish populations. Such drastic measures would shrink the world fleet to seven million vessels.


Subsidized trawlers largely to blame for overfishing

The UN identifies trawlers as bearing the largest responsibility for overfishing, and many of these “egregious practices” are actually subsidized by developing countries. According to UNEP’s preview report “Turning the Tide on Falling Fish Stocks – UNEP-Led Green Economy Charts Sustainable Investment Path“:


The investment, some of which can be covered by phasing down or phasing out some of the US$27 billion-worth of fishing subsides currently in place, is needed to dramatically reduce the excess capacity of the world’s fishing fleets while supporting workers in alternative livelihoods…

he report estimates that of the US$27 billion-worth of subsidies, only around US$8 billion can be classed as ‘good’ with the rest classed as ‘bad’ and ‘ugly’ as they contribute to over-exploitation of stocks.

The Guardian reports:


At stake is not just the biodiversity of the oceans, but a substantial chunk of the global economy and the livelihoods that depend on it. The UN estimates there are about 35 million people directly employed in fishing, which translates to about 120 million including their households and 500 million – or about 8% of global population – taking into account indirect businesses such as packaging, freezing and transport…

The paradox is that there is so much overfishing going on that the industry has become increasingly inefficient. The UN believes that by switching from large trawler fleets to more sustainable local or “artisanal” fishing, fish stocks will recover and the total size of catch will grow.

Although restricting fishing will have an immediate impact on the global economy, the long term benefit will far outweigh the effects by creating a sustainable industry and food source. It is estimated 20 million people would need to find jobs outside of the fishing industry in order to save global stocks.

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US HOT STOCKS: Odyssey HealthCare, Sprint, Citi, DreamWorks

U.S. stocks traded lower Monday, as the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 99 points to 10093, the Standard & Poor's 500 index slipped 9 points to 1078 and the Nasdaq Composite index declined 5 points to 2224. Among the companies whose shares are actively trading in the session are Odyssey HealthCare Inc. (ODSY), Sprint Nextel Corp. (S) and Citigroup Inc. (C).

Gentiva Health Services Inc. (GTIV, $27.49, +$1.70, +6.59%) has agreed to acquire Odyssey HealthCare ($26.32, +$7.03, +36.44%) for nearly $1 billion, a combination that will create the largest U.S

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Friday, 21 May 2010

Telecom, oil stocks lead the show

With the auction for 3G spectrum finally over and oil prices hitting a new low, telecom and oil and gas stocks gained momentum on the bourses on Thursday.


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Airline Stocks Decline For a Fifth Day

NEW YORK -- Airline stocks declined for a fifth day Friday as the wider market wrestled with weak economic data, debt worries and new financial regulation. The NYSE Arca Airline Index fell 1.3% to 33.75 points with all but four of its 13 components trading down. U.S.-listed shares of Gol Linhas shed 2.7% to $10.96, Tam Sa fell 3.5% to $13.14 and Ryanair Holdings lost about 1% to $22.99. Shares for the big U.S. network carriers moved sideways, with Delta , Continental and US Airways last up a fraction after being down a fraction earlier. Crude-oil futures fell under $70 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, while the Dow Jones Industrial Index fell about 52 points to 10,016.


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Stock Source is a full service investor relations firm dedicated to growth stocks. We seek out innovative, emerging companies poised for growth and tell their stories to qualified, aggressive investors looking for ground floor opportunities. We connect investors with investment prospects—cutting through the noise and churn of Wall Street to shine the spotlight on companies on their way up. These companies trade on the Nasdaq, Amex, OTCBB, and Pinksheets.

Arab stocks close week lower on eurozone worries, oil prices

Arab stock markets lost fresh ground this week as investors continued to come under psychological pressure from the eurozone debt crisis and plummeting oil prices mainly due to European growth fears, financial analysts said Friday.The plunge was led by Saudi and Egyptian stocks, while United Arab Emirates shares found support from news that the Dubai World conglomerate had reached a deal to restructure 23.5 billion dollars in debt with its core lenders, they added."Arab investors are apparently still under the psychological impact of the slump of global markets in response to persistent eurozone debt ordeal," an Amman-based portfolio manager told German Press Agency dpa."The falling of oil prices below the 70-dollar level, a seventh-month low, will have a negative effect on regional markets, particularly in the Gulf region," he said.Saudi shares continued their downward trend this week with the petrochemical sector spearheading the decline.At least 40 cent of the production of the Saudi petrochemical giant, the Saudi Arabian Basic Industries Corp, goes to European markets, analysts said.The Tadawul All Share Index of the Saudi stock exchange plummeted 4.4 per cent this week, closing at 6,401.06 points.The performance of the Saudi market this week reflected "confusion" on the part of Saudi investors due to the eurozone's woes, said Abdul Hamid Omari, member of the Saudi Economic Society.He expected Saudi stocks to pick up, given the "robust nature of the Saudi economy and the huge spending on the part of the Saudi government."Jordanian shares continued their downward trend this week amid reports of retreating liquidity and declining confidence.The all-share price index of the Amman Stock Exchange shed 2.61 per cent this week, to close at 2,482 points, according to the ASE weekly report.Kuwait's KSE all-share index also closed 1.3 per cent in the red at 7,063 points, led by the banking sector.Reports that Dubai World had reached agreement with its creditors to reschedule a major part of its debt reflected positively on Thursday on the stock exchanges of Dubai and Abu Dhabi, analysts said.On a weekly basis, the benchmarks of the Dubai and Abu Dhabi markets shed 1.4 per cent and 0.5 per cent to close respectively at 1,692 points and 2,781 points.The Egyptian stock market was the Arab world's major loser this week due to extensive selling by both foreign and local investors who reacted sharply to the bad news on global bourses, analysts said.Egypt's AGX30 index, which measures the performance of the market's 30 most active stocks, dived 7.2 per cent this week, to close at 6,422 points.


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Stocks Slide for 4th Day; Dow Falls below 10,000

Stocks slid for a fourth day Friday on more worries about how Europe is handling its debt crisis.

The Dow Jones industrial average fell about 75 points in early trading.

The drop comes a day after major indexes posted their biggest declines in more than a year. That pushed the market to "correction" mode, having dropped more than 10 percent from their 2010 highs last month.

Investors again looked to Europe for direction. The German parliament approved the country's share of a $1 trillion plan to help contain debt problems in the European Union but major stock indexes fell more than 1 percent in Europe. Traders are worried stronger countries like Germany and France will be saddled with heavy debts to help weaker EU countries.

The euro rose to $1.2533 from $1.2464. The 16-nation currency has been a big driver of trading for weeks but many traders have been skeptical that any advances will be short-lived.

World markets have been falling on concerns that European debt problems will upend a global rebound. The fear is that huge deficits in countries including Greece and Portugal will cause a wave of bad debt to race through the world's financial system. Even if that is prevented, the prospect of heavier borrowing and sluggish growth has traders concerned.

In the first quarter-hour of trading, the Dow Jones industrial average fell 73.31, or 0.7 percent, to 9,998.03. The broader Standard & Poor's 500 index fell 7.11, or 0.7 percent, to 1,064.18. The Nasdaq composite index fell 16.22, or 0.7 percent, to 2,187.79.

The Dow tumbled 376 points Thursday. The Dow and broader indexes are now in correction territory by having dropped more than 10 percent from their 2010 highs last month. The drop has erased the gains major indexes had made in 2010.

Bond prices rose, extending Thursday's gains when investors dumped anything seen as risky, including stocks and commodities. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, which moves opposite its price, fell to 3.15 percent from 3.22 percent late Thursday.

Crude oil dropped $1.55 to $69.25 per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Gold prices fell.


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StockSource is a full service investor relations firm dedicated to growth stocks. We seek out innovative, emerging companies poised for growth and tell their stories to qualified, aggressive investors looking for ground floor opportunities. We connect investors with investment prospects—cutting through the noise and churn of Wall Street to shine the spotlight on companies on their way up. These companies trade on the Nasdaq, Amex, OTCBB, and Pinksheets.

Thursday, 20 May 2010

U.S. stocks post mild loss as euro moves dominate

Banks rise amid reform debate; manufacturing stocks drag down Dow average 
NEW YORK (MarketWatch) - U.S. stocks ended moderately lower Wednesday as investors wrestled with worries over the euro zone's debt woes and the potential impact on U.S. companies.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA 10,416, -40.13, -0.38%), which was off 186 points at its session low, closed down 66.58 points, or 0.6%, at 10444.37.

The Dow's financial components were higher as the Senate took a vote on whether to end debate on a bill to overhaul Wall Street regulation. Bank of America Corp.(BAC 15.98, -0.33, -2.02%) rose 2.3%, American Express (AXP 39.88, -0.29, -0.72%) and J.P. Morgan Chase (JPM 38.55, -0.83, -2.11%) were up almost 1% each, and Travelers(TRV 49.86, -0.28, -0.56%) was up 0.6%. Read more on financial stocks and read latest on bank reform vote.

The euro recovered from a four-year low, reaching $1.2383, from $1.2210 late Tuesday in New York. It lost about 0.5% earlier in the day and has fallen nearly 10% against the U.S. dollar since the start of April on fears that the euro zone's economy will be slow to recover from its recent credit crisis. The U.S. dollar index(DXY 86.53, +0.14, +0.16%) fell more than 1%. See Currencies for more on euro, dollar.

Wednesday marked the first day of a new German ban on "naked" short-selling that exacerbated stock losses in U.S. and abroad. Read more on EU reaction to German ban.

London's FTSE 100 index closed down 2.8%, while Germany's DAX dropped 2.7% and the Stoxx Europe 600 tumbled 3%.Read Europe Markets.

The ban on the naked short selling of euro zone bonds, credit default swaps and 10 German financial companies has stoked investors' suspicions about Europe's ability to contain its debt crisis. Read more on drop in European CDS spreads.

"I think we'll have a lot of volatility related to events in the euro-zone for some time, but eventually it will die down as people get used to the way the policy makers there are dealing with things," said Axel Merk, president of currency-focused Merk Mutual Funds. "At some point, we'll begin to focus on where the next crisis might be.

Participants are concerned about how earnings of big U.S. multinational companies could be hurt if the euro keeps sliding. Caterpillar Inc. shares (CAT 59.17, -2.27, -3.70%)dropped 2.8%, Boeing (BA 64.54, -1.67, -2.52%) fell 2.2%, and DuPont(DD 35.90, -0.92, -2.50%) declined 0.7%.

Germany's ban on the naked short selling of euro-zone bonds, credit default swaps and certain equities will keep market suspicions about Europe aroused for a few days yet.

Among stocks to watch in the U.S., Deere (DE 57.02, -1.85, -3.14%) rose 3% after the company posted a 16% increase in fiscal second-quarter earnings on strong demand for its large machinery. The farm-equipment giant also raised its current-year earnings forecast. See full story on Deere earnings.

Hewlett-Packard(HPQ 45.90, -1.10, -2.34%) rose 0.5%. The company's fiscal second-quarter profit grew 28% on higher world-wide sales and profit growth in its core personal-computer business, where shipments jumped. Read more on H-P shares, results.

Crude for July delivery, the contract attracting the most interest and commitments from investors, declined 22 cents, or 0.3%, to settle at $72.48 a barrel. See Futures Movers for more on oil futures.

Gold futures declined for a second straight day, with the June contract ending down $21.50 at $1,193.10 per troy ounce.Read Metals Stocks for more on gold, platinum and palladium futures.

Treasury prices weakened, with the benchmark 10-year note slipping 2/32 to 3.361%. Read Bond Report.


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Treasurys gain as euro, stocks head back down

NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- Treasury prices rose on Thursday, pushing yields down, as renewed uncertainty about policy actions in Europe and the impact on global economic growth weighed on the euro and U.S. stock futures, increasing the relative attractiveness of U.S. debt.

Bonds extended gains after an unexpectedly weak reading on initial unemployment claims in the U.S

Yields on 10-year notes(UST10Y 3.27, -0.10, -2.10%), which move inversely to prices, fell 10 basis points to 3.3%.

A basis point is 0.01%.

Yields on 2-year notes declined 6 basis points to 0.7%.

Longer-term yields falling more than shorter-term ones reduces the gap between the securities, flattening the so-called "yield curve" that charts the spread between them.

"We start this day with very little new to add to the story as we watch the euro, stocks, and take a bullish flattening cue from that," said strategist at CRT Capital Group.

The euro(CUR_EURUSD 1.2360, -0.0066, -0.5311%)slipped to $1.2322 from $1.2429 in late North American trading Wednesday.

It fell to a fresh four-year low earlier this week. Read about dollar, euro.

The Labor Department said 471,000 Americans filed first-time claims for jobless benefits, unexpectedly jumping 25,000.Read about jobless claims.

Still to come is the Philadelphia Federal Reserve's index on manufacturing for May and the leading indicators index for April, both at 10 a.m. Eastern time.

At 11 a.m., the Treasury Department will say how much in debt it will sell next week. Analysts expect auction sizes to shrink.

The government will sell $2 billion less than last month in 2-year and 5-year notes, and $1 billion less in 7-year debt next week, according to Nomura Securities.

The size cuts, focused in shorter-maturity debt, should help the Treasury meet two goals: extend the average maturity of the government's debt and reduce the risks associated with refinancing the debt in upcoming years, said George Goncalves, a bond strategist at Nomura.

On Wednesday, Treasury prices fell and the euro recouped some steep loses as currency traders reversed bets that the shared currency would fall further.

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The Day Ahead: European Headlines Pressure Stocks Lower Before Jobless Claims, LEI, Philly Fed

The stock market is indicated lower this morning as investors remain weary about Europe’s debt crisis.

Overnight, Japanese GDP rose at a slower-than-expected annualized rate of 4.9% in the first quarter, a Chinese finance minister called for the U.S. to bring its budget deficit under control, Spain issued 10-year bonds at 4.05% — the highest yield of any 10-year auction since April 2009, Greek workers are protesting austerity again, and rumors are circulating that all EU members will adopt Germany's ban on naked short selling.

Ninety minutes before the opening bell, Dow futures are off 113 points to 10,292 and S&P 500 futures are down 15 points at 1,095.00. The 2 year Treasury note yield is 4.1 basis points lower at 0.736% and the benchmark 10 year Treasury note yield is 8.1 basis points lower at 3.289%.

Commodity valuations are also adjusting to the barrage of headline news. WTI crude oil down $1.69 to $68.18 per barrel, and Spot Gold lower by $12.50 to $1,180.60― almost $60 below last week’s record high.

“The recent poor performance of the cyclical commodities combined with the breakdown in Chinese equities is not an encouraging signal for global growth,” said economists at BMO Capital Markets, who noted that oil prices are 10% off from the 200-day moving average.

Today’s three data points should reinforce the recovery story at home, but it remains to be seen if investor sentiment can shift on that alone.

Key Events Today:

8:30 ― Initial Jobless Claims should continue falling in the week ending May 15. The 4-week average is currently at 450,500, just above the 450k threshold that economists often point to as a signal of whether there is net growth in labor markets. Economists anticipate a 4k fall to 440k in weekly unemployment claims, with some expecting a figure as low at 435k.

“Initial jobless claims have been slowly drifting lower, and we expect this trend to continue for the foreseeable future,” said economists at Nomura. “At this point in the business cycle though, claims are not particularly valuable for forecasting non-farm payroll growth, in our view. The current level of claims is consistent with employment growth, and whether or not firms begin to ramp up hiring will determine how strong that labor market recovery will be.”

10:00 ― Leading Economic Indicators, a composite gauge that measures turning points in the economy, should suggest overall growth for the 13th consecutive month in April. But with economists expecting a 0.1% advance, the gain is hardly robust, particularly as it follows a 1.4% gain in March and a 0.6% increase in February.

“While manufacturing activity, financial markets and consumer expectations could have positive contributions, April’s rise in initial jobless claims will subtract from it,” said economists at BBVA. “Persistent growth in this leading indicator indicates that the recovery is strengthening. Furthermore, an expansion in April would be in line with our expectations of GDP growth in 2Q10.”

10:00 ― The Philly Fed Index has been much less consistent or strong compared to its cousin Empire State index for New York. But in May the headline was 20.2, marking broad-based growth that shouldn’t let up up this month. Economists look for a moderate climb to 21.5, far above the zero threshold suggesting growth.

“The Philly Fed's index of manufacturing activity is expected to be almost unchanged at 20.0 in May from 20.2 previously,” said economists at Nomura, who called their forecast “an encouraging sign that manufacturers in this region are still in expansion mode.”

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ABOUT US: Stock Source is a full service investor relations firm dedicated to growth stocks. We seek out innovative, emerging companies poised for growth and tell their stories to qualified, aggressive investors looking for ground floor opportunities. We connect investors with investment prospects—cutting through the noise and churn of Wall Street to shine the spotlight on companies on their way up. These companies trade on the Nasdaq, Amex, OTCBB, and Pinksheets.

Futures Drop As Euro Continues Slide

Futures pointed toward another day of declines for U.S. stocks as Wall Street waits data on jobless claims and economic activity along with another wave of corporate earnings.

Traders also continue to watch the decline of the euro, which fell 0.6% overnight to $1.2340 after partially recovering on Wednesday.

As of 7 a.m. in New York, the Dow Jones Industrial Average futures fell 65 points, or 0.63%, to 10340, the S&P 500 futures fell 7.5 points to 1102.40 and the Nasdaq 100 futures lost 16 points to 1852.25.

Once again, the decline of the euro was putting pressure on European markets and commodities in Thursday trading. The continent's major averages were down 0.3% - 0.9%, with Germany leading losses.

Oil was down 1.5% to $68.85 a barrel and gold was lower by 0.7% to $1,184.50 a troy ounce.

Today's earnings schedule consists of mostly retailers, including results from Williams-Sonoma (WSM: 28.41,0, 0%), Gap Inc. (GPS: 22.21, 0, 0%), Staples (SPLS: 21.54, 0, 0%) among others. After the closing bell PC maker Dell (DELL: 14.98, 0, 0%) and video game retailer GameStop (GPS: 22.21, 0, 0%) are scheduled to report earnings.

Wall Street will get weekly jobless claims at 8:30 a.m. ET followed by the Philadelphia Fed's activity index at 10 a.m. Economists surveyed by Thomson Reuters expect initial claims fell by 5,000 to 439,000 while the Philly Fed index climbed to a reading of 20.7.

On Wednesday, the Dow fell 66.58 points, or 0.63%, to 10444.37, the Standard & Poor's 500 lost 5.75 points, or 0.51%, to 1115.05 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 18.89 points, or 0.82%, to 2298.37. The FOX 50 slid 3.27 points, or 0.40%, to 819.74.

3 Cheap Stocks Our Experts Like Right Now

It took a special kind of incompetence to get to where we are today. After years of "producing" billions of dollars using sophisticated financial instruments, investment banks and nominal retail banks alike got crushed by the consequences of excessive leverage and convoluted investments.

Good thing we've stopped trusting our finances to what those bozos have to say.

Yeah, good thing
Then again, maybe we haven't completely. After all, we're still relying on analyst forecasts.

It's a well-documented fact that analyst earnings estimates tend to be wildly inaccurate; off by some 40% on average, according to an extensive study by two Penn State professors. Then there's the herd mentality that figures into buy and sell recommendations.

In his book One Up on Wall Street, legendary former Fidelity Magellan fund manager Peter Lynch explains why so many Wall Street analysts copy one another, rather than risk their reputations on unusual opinions: "Success is one thing, but it's more important not to look bad if you fail."

See, as my colleagues Brian Richards and Tim Hanson revealed, the trouble with analyst price targets is:

1. You get no context.

2. The vast majority of stocks -- not surprisingly, for an industry that makes money by persuading you to buy stocks -- are considered "undervalued."

Really? The vast majority?
Yes. According to data I've collected using Capital IQ, an institutional software package, the Wall Street consensus is that fully 95% of S&P 500 companies are undervalued -- even after the recent run-up.

Consider these standouts:

Company
Recent Price
Consensus Target Price
Upside Potential
Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS)
$137.40
$203.50
48%
Moody's (NYSE: MCO)
$21.03
$31.20
48%
McGraw-Hill (NYSE: MHP)
$28.95
$41.70
44%
JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM)
$39.02
$55.50
42%
Bank of America (NYSE: BAC)
$15.95
$22.50
41%
Each of these companies has played a central role in the financial crisis and is now the target of Wall Street reform. As the Senate bill currently stands, the ratings agencies would lose their federally mandated oligopoly status. Over the next day or so, lobbyists will try to kill a provision banning FDIC-insured banks from trading derivatives and are blocking a vote on a provision that would ban them from speculating. Without the ratings agencies' oligopoly or Fed support for banks that speculate in derivatives and other financial instruments, the business models of these companies would change dramatically.

But on a broader note, it's absurd to think that the vast majority of the S&P 500 -- an index that captures the most carefully scrutinized publicly traded companies -- would be undervalued.

Remember, many of these "buy" recommendations come from the same Wall Street firms that couldn't properly analyze their own businesses. And while that doesn't mean none of them employs very capable analysts, or that no stocks are undervalued today (many are), it does raise another problem with price targets …

3. You have no way of assessing the analyst's past record.
If all you have to go on is that someone at Citigroup says you should buy Goldman Sachs, how on earth are you supposed to estimate the quality of the analysis, much less decide whether you agree with that opinion?


Here are three cheap stocks expert investors love right now
Company
All-Star Outperform /
Underperform Ratings
PepsiCo (NYSE: PEP)
1,080 / 20
National Oilwell Varco (NYSE: NOV)
834 / 9
Activision Blizzard 
1,543 / 34
Source: Motley Fool CAPS

If you're looking for some more stock ideas, clcik on the stocksource link below:


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ABOUT US:

Stock Source is a full service investor relations firm dedicated to growth stocks. We seek out innovative, emerging companies poised for growth and tell their stories to qualified, aggressive investors looking for ground floor opportunities. We connect investors with investment prospects—cutting through the noise and churn of Wall Street to shine the spotlight on companies on their way up. These companies trade on the Nasdaq, Amex, OTCBB, and Pinksheets.